Thursday, November 10, 2016

America at the Precipice

(restored after an accidental deletion)
We are living in an interesting time .... As Americans, we are staring at the precipice, considering whether to make the next step. The far-right, fueled by the Russian money and led by their puppet as a part of probably the greatest asymmetric offensive on the Western world, realizing that the generational shift of power to the Millennials means their demise until the next cycle some 50-60 years from now, is making its last stand. And they are willing to do anything and everything - cheat, roll back freedoms, intimidate, corrupt, whatever, not to lose.

Across the ocean, a decrepit Russia is watching this with baited breath. Stuck between the juggernaut of China and NATO, they've gone after the West because it's more heterogeneous, where their money can deliver a double-whammy of financing the far-right and lubricating the human trafficking channels that flood Europe with waves of refugees, only to seemingly give credence to their puppets.

The US is the linchpin of this gambit - if Trump wins, the following is the worst case scenario, each stage building on the previous one:
  • Economic warfare against Russia would cease, leading to the replenishment of its capabilities and reserves
  • US economy goes into recession
  • Global trade is disrupted, leading to a global economic slowdown
  • System of checks and balances is curtailed or demolished (already in progress, giving the FBI's interference in the election process)
  • Domestic instability spikes, leading to a crackdown
  • US becomes a de facto fascist dictatorship
  • NATO is weakened, or abolished
  • Europe is left to face Russia alone, and turns into a bloody mess
  • The world is be re-divided between the US, Russia and China
  • Global conflict ensues between a weaker US, a much stronger Russia and China when the scheme breaks down, as it inevitably would. Global nuclear war.

If Hillary wins, the worst case scenario would be:
  • Far-right rejects the elections' outcome
  • Cold, or hot, civil conflict begins
  • Paralyzed, the US cedes initiative to Russia
  • War in Europe begins
  • US government defeats the rebels, domestic conflict concludes
  • US enters the war in Europe
  • Russia, bled dry by the conflict, collapses
  • China ceases Siberia and Far East, Japan - Sakhalin and other coastal areas and islands
  • Russia is divided into the US, EU, Chinese and Japanese protectorates

I know both seem far fetched, but the absolute majority of people simply either don't realize how quickly wars are sparked and engulf huge areas (war in Ukraine was started by 15 Russian mercs; in Syria - by Assad's police firing on protesters), or live in denial.

We stand at the precipice .... and we must chose the America as a diverse democracy, even if it means everything I mentioned before. Because the alternative means no future.

No comments:

Post a Comment